Prediction
Answer Options
As of 13 October 2026, 09:35 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 58% chance and No at 42%.
This prediction covers the college football game Penn State v Michigan, due to start on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:30 UTC (20:30 BST). YES if Michigan finish at least 4 points clear of their opponents at the end; NO for any narrower win or a defeat. A tied game also counts as NO for this prediction, even where other predictions on the same game split a tie. Overtime counts if played. If the game is postponed, the prediction stays open until it has been played. If it is called off for good with no make-up game, the prediction is split evenly between YES and NO. The official result recognised by the NCAA decides, with ESPN as the backup source and then reliable news coverage; changes to the official score after settlement do not count. If no reliable result can be found within 24 hours after the game, the prediction is split evenly between YES and NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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