Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:31 UTC, versus prices Juliana Stratton (D) at a 98% chance and Don Tracy (R) at 2%.
Select the winner of Illinois’s US Senate contest in the 2026 midterms, including a runoff if one is held. Each major-party answer represents that party’s nominee. If a nominee is replaced before election day, the answer follows the replacement nominee. Independents do not count as Democratic or Republican candidates merely because they have ties to either party. A matching answer is YES and the others are NO; a winner outside the displayed parties makes both displayed answers NO. The Associated Press, Fox News and NBC must all call the same candidate for an early final outcome. Without unanimous calls from these three, use the officially certified election result. The scheduled event timestamp is 3 November 2026 at 00:00 UTC; it does not override later counting, runoff voting or certification. No automatic NO deadline or separate cancellation treatment is provided.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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