Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, versus prices John Moolenaar (R) at a 98% chance and Ben Ambrose (D) at 1%.
The 2026 U.S. House election for MI-02 is held on 3 November 2026, with all times stated in ET. Determine the winner from broad agreement among reputable election reports when the contest is conclusively called. A candidate’s party is the ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at that time; a candidate without a ballot-listed Democrat or Republican affiliation is treated as belonging to the party with which they most recently stated an intention to caucus. YES applies to the listed answer corresponding to the winning party or candidate, and NO applies otherwise. If the reports leave an ambiguity, use the official U.S. government result from the Federal Election Commission. The election call, including any count needed to make it conclusive, controls the answer.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
