Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, versus prices Republican Party at a 2% chance and Democratic Party at 98%.
Exactly one live party answer is YES for the party of the candidate who wins Wisconsin’s WI-02 U.S. House seat in the 3 November 2026 midterm. Determine affiliation from the ballot or another clear party identification when all 2026 House races are conclusively called; if neither Democrat nor Republican is identified, use the candidate’s most recently stated caucus intention then. Use a broad agreement among reliable reports for the result; if it is ambiguous, use the official U.S. government result from the Federal Election Commission. Election-source timestamps are recorded in ET, and every other listed party is NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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