Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 14% chance and No at 86%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between the market's creation and the end of the specified date in US Eastern time, that is 06:00 CET/CEST the following morning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation or removal before this market's end date will resolve the market to "Yes" immediately, regardless of when that resignation or removal takes effect. If he is detained, effectively removed from the position, or otherwise permanently prevented from carrying out its duties within this market's timeframe, that will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
