Will Newsom or his spouse face federal charges by 31 Dec?

As of 11 October 2026, 20:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 26% chance and No at 74%.

Category

politics

Closes

2027-01-01 04:59 UTC

Answers

2

Chances as of

2026-10-11 20:29 UTC

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of either Governor Gavin Newsom or Jennifer Siebel Newsom between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Answer options

• Yes26%
• No74%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.

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