Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, versus prices Xavier Becerra at a 31% chance and Steve Hilton at 68%.
YES belongs to the listed candidate receiving the most valid votes in Fresno County in California's gubernatorial election scheduled for 3 November 2026. Rank candidates by county valid-vote totals; if totals tie, the candidate with the alphabetically first ballot surname ranks higher. If the county result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use Other. A broad agreement among reputable reports determines the result; if reports are ambiguous, use only official returns from California, including the Secretary of State and Fresno County government.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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