
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at a 10% chance, ahead of Gretchen Whitmer at 7% and Chris Murphy at 7%.
Resolves to the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day does not affect resolution; the market resolves based on the first accepted Democratic vice-presidential nomination.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @FoxNews