Prediction
Answer Options
As of 13 October 2026, 09:35 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
YES only when France Football’s official ranking for the 2026 women’s Ballon d’Or places Mariona Caldentey in positions 1 through 3. NO otherwise. The ceremony is scheduled at the London Palladium in London on 26 October 2026 and begins at 20:00 GMT; this prediction closes at 19:59 UTC immediately before it starts. If more than three players are tied around those positions, use France Football’s published top-three ordering; where tied players have no further official distinction, alphabetical order by player name decides. If the award is postponed beyond November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, is cancelled, or the final three positions are not established by then, record NO. Official announcements from France Football or UEFA, including the Ballon d’Or announcement, determine the result; if unavailable, use consistent agreement among reputable reports.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
