Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 59% chance and No at 41%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte on any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May 2026, before 05:59 CET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve early in favour of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
