Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 8% chance and No at 92%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 05:59 CET / 06:59 CEST the following day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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