Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices NewJeans at a 46% chance and Twice at 36%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and 08:59 CET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Note: this resolution is written in PT (Los Angeles time), not ET like the rest of the batch, so the conversion is nine hours rather than six.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
