Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 72% chance and No at 28%.
YES applies if Coinbase lets customers with a U.S. account buy at least one tokenized stock by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. The token must represent a whole or fractional interest in a stock or ETF quoted on Nasdaq, NYSE, or another U.S. national exchange, with one-to-one backing or the security itself recorded on a blockchain. Private-company tokens, synthetic or derivative trackers, and stablecoins do not count. Access in one or more U.S. states qualifies, regardless of tier or account minimum; foreign-only access, accredited-investor-only access, employee tests, waitlists, and invite-only programs do not. Purchases via a self-custody wallet or decentralized exchange do not count, even from the Coinbase app. An announcement alone is insufficient. Coinbase’s official information controls, with credible reporting as corroboration.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
