Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 23:10 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 5% chance and No at 95%.
This prediction covers the 2026 League of Legends World Championship, planned for 15 October to 14 November 2026. Every completed official game of the Play-In, the Swiss stage and the Knockout stage counts. A champion earns one appearance for a game when either team picks it and it is played in a game that finishes. Bans add nothing. Remade, abandoned or unfinished games, and wins handed out by forfeit with no game played, are left out. YES if Nautilus ends the tournament as the single champion with the highest number of such appearances. If several champions share the top count, the one with the better win rate over the whole tournament goes first; if still level, the one banned more often across the tournament; if still level, the name that comes first in alphabetical order. YES only if Nautilus comes out on top after these steps. NO if any other champion, listed on versus or not, finishes first. NO as well if the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed and still not finished at 11:59 PM ET on 14 December 2026. The count is taken from the per-tournament champion statistics that Leaguepedia publishes; matching reports from reputable esports outlets may also settle the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
