Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 12 October 2026, 11:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 5% chance and No at 95%.
YES if the total valid votes cast in Rhode Island's 2026 US Senate election come to under 250,000; any other total is NO. All certified votes for candidates and for non-candidate options count; invalid or blank ballots do not. If a ranked or preferential count is used, the first-round total counts. A total sitting exactly on the line between two ranges belongs to the higher range. If the result is still not definitively known on 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the lowest range (under 250,000 votes) is treated as the result: YES only for that range and NO for every other. The certified results from Rhode Island's state election authority decide; overwhelming agreement among reliable news reports may be used as a fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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