
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:23 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem between market creation and January 1, 2027, 05:59 CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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