Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 12% chance and No at 88%.
This prediction concerns Magnus Carlsen in Titled Tuesday, scheduled for 16:00 UTC (16:00 GMT) on 3 Nov 2026. YES if Magnus Carlsen is listed in places 1 through 8 in the standings issued by Chess.com. NO applies to a lower place or to a player who does not take part. It also settles NO if the event is canceled, postponed beyond 23:59 ET on 17 Nov 2026, or the standings are still missing at that cutoff. Chess.com's organizer standings are primary; consistent reputable reports are a fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
