Will RFK Jr leave his job as Health Secretary by 31 Dec?

As of 11 October 2026, 20:39 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 12% chance and No at 88%.

Category

politics

Closes

2026-12-31 00:00 UTC

Answers

2

Chances as of

2026-10-11 20:39 UTC

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Answer options

• Yes12%
• No88%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.

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