
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 09:17 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
YES if Khamzat Chimaev is the first fighter after Islam Makhachev to be ranked number one in the official UFC pound-for-pound rankings during 2026, with the change taking place by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise NO. If Islam remains number one through that time, or a different fighter is the first to succeed him at number one, the answer is NO. The official UFC rankings are the controlling record; the first official change after Islam determines the successor, and an unofficial ranking does not settle the prediction.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets