Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 7% chance and No at 93%.
This market resolves Yes if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between this market's creation and December 31, 2026 (Central European local time); otherwise it resolves No. An announcement of Modi's resignation or removal before the end date immediately settles the market to Yes, regardless of when the departure actually takes effect. If Modi is detained, effectively removed from the position, or otherwise permanently prevented from carrying out the duties of Prime Minister within the timeframe, that also qualifies as Yes. Resolution is based on official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
