Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:48 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 73% chance and No at 27%.
This prediction is about the NBA regular season spanning 2026 and 2027. YES if Nikola Jokic finishes with the greatest EFF average per game among eligible players, after applying the tie procedure below. Every other outcome is NO, including victory by anyone else. Use the eligibility decisions shown in the NBA's official per-game tables at NBA.com/stats. A player appearing in at least 58 regular-season fixtures qualifies; otherwise follow the eligibility status actually shown by the NBA. Count the regular schedule only. Cup group fixtures and subsequent knockout rounds count, with the NBA Cup championship match excluded. Also exclude preseason contests, the Play-In Tournament, postseason playoffs and the All-Star fixture. Combine a player's statistics across every team he represented. For equal leading averages, compare the tied players' cumulative EFF totals from the regular schedule. The greatest total wins. If that comparison leaves several players tied for first, this prediction settles NO even if Nikola Jokic is one of them. If the season finishes early or has its schedule reduced for any reason, use completed games and the NBA eligibility decisions for that shortened schedule. A cancelled season, a postponement beyond 25 Apr 2027 at 23:59 ET, or uncertainty over the leader by that cutoff means NO. Official NBA information, including its statistical website, provides the primary evidence. Consistent reporting from reliable news organisations may also establish the result. EFF measures box-score production. Add blocks, steals, assists, rebounds and points; then subtract turnovers plus the numbers of missed free throws and missed field-goal attempts. Use the NBA's published per-game average for this statistic.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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