Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 48% chance and No at 52%.
This prediction covers Worlds, the League of Legends championship scheduled for 15 Oct to 14 Nov 2026. YES when at least one completed official game has a recorded in-game duration of 50:00 or longer. Otherwise NO. Assess individual games, not the combined duration of a match series. Include the tournament's Play-In, Swiss and knockout stages. Use the official post-game timer from game start to game end; paused time is excluded. Discard unfinished attempts that are remade or restarted, counting only the completed game entered in the official records. An unplayed forfeit does not count. If the tournament is cancelled or delayed so that it has not finished by 14 Dec 2026 at 23:59 ET, decide using games completed by that cutoff. Riot Games match data on LoL Esports is the primary evidence, with individual game times logged by Leaguepedia. Consistent reporting from reliable news organisations may also establish the outcome.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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