Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 6-7 at a 44% chance, ahead of 4-5 at 34% and Below 4 at 13%.
YES goes to the range covering RZP–Zehut’s Knesset total from Israel’s legislative vote expected on 27 October 2026. If the party runs on a joint list, count the list’s seats; a merger before the election counts all seats won by the merged party or its joint list. If the result is not definitive by 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use the lowest displayed range. Use the election result established by agreement across reliable reporting, with Israel’s Central Elections Committee controlling any ambiguity. Exactly one range is YES and all other answers are NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
