Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 12 October 2026, 09:17 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 9% chance and No at 91%.
YES if the Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea raises the base rate at its meeting scheduled for 22 October 2026 (Seoul time, KST) by an amount that counts as 25 basis points, compared with the rate in force just before that meeting; an unchanged rate, any cut, or a hike that counts as 50 basis points or more means NO. If the rate is ever expressed as a range, use the change in the upper end of that range. A hike smaller than 25 basis points counts as 25; a bigger hike is rounded to the nearest multiple of 25, and a value exactly halfway between two multiples is rounded up (for example, 37.5 counts as 50 and means NO). The decision is normally published around 10:00 AM KST on 22 October 2026, which is about 9:00 PM ET on 21 October 2026, and this prediction can be settled as soon as it is out. Official Bank of Korea information decides, in particular the Monetary Policy Board's statement or release on this decision; the bank's official meeting calendar confirms the date.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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