Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 21:37 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 35% chance and No at 65%.
This market resolves Yes if the candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election is the Republican Party nominee. Otherwise, it resolves No. Resolution follows the Electoral College outcome as confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. The market’s end date is November 8, 2028, 12:59:59 AM CET.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @politico
