Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory it was not claiming at the time of this market's creation. A qualifying example of annexation would be the Louisiana Purchase; instances in which settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
