Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:22 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 64% chance and No at 36%.
Settles on whether Jaguares drops out of Colombia Primera A for the next season. YES if the club loses its top-flight place through its final league position in the 2026 Colombia Primera A season, by losing a relegation playoff, or through any other official league decision that Colombia Primera A recognises. NO if the club keeps its place or leaves by any other route, if the 2026 season is cancelled, or if no team is confirmed for relegation in time. The cut-off is 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2026 (04:59 UTC on 1 Jan 2027): a relegation confirmed after that moment, or a 2026 season postponed beyond it, counts as NO. Colombia Primera A's own announcements decide. If they are unavailable, consistent reports from reputable news outlets are used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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