Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 21:33 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 1% chance and No at 99%.
YES if a Kandinsky model is ranked first when arena.ai's board for text-to-video rankings is checked at 12:00 PM ET on 30 November 2026. Kandinsky covers the Kandinsky family shown under Kandinsky or owner Sber or Sber AI. Use the Models view and the displayed Rank field. Exclude any row marked AutoEval at the check, even if it has a rank or score. Sort by displayed rank; for equal ranks, use the row appearing higher in the table, then compare the listed company names alphabetically. If an unlisted company is first, every listed answer is NO. If the board is unavailable at that time, wait for the first successful check after it returns; if it is permanently unavailable, every listed answer is NO. Only that arena.ai board determines the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
