Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 95% chance and No at 5%.
YES applies if Minnesota records more than 4.5 wins in the 2026 NCAA Division I football regular season. Count only official regular-season games; conference title games, bowls and playoff games are excluded. Only victories in played games count, even if the schedule shrinks through weather, forfeits or any other cause. Cancelled or unplayed fixtures add no win. If the regular season is cancelled, postponed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the total cannot be established by 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the answer is NO. NCAA and conference records are primary, with agreement across reliable reporting as fallback. A total at or below the stated threshold is NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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