Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 1.7M–1.8 million votes at a 44% chance, ahead of 1.5M–1.6 million votes at 24% and 1.4M–1.5 million votes at 22%.
Exactly one live range receives YES for the total valid votes in the Alabama Senate race at the 2026 midterm. Count certified votes for candidates and non-candidate choices; exclude blank or invalid ballots, and in a preferential system use round one. If the total lands exactly between brackets, choose the higher range. The certified Alabama election result is primary, with a broad reputable-reporting agreement as fallback. If the outcome is still not definitive by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the lowest listed range is YES.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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