Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Geralt of Rivia at a 87% chance, ahead of Vilgefortz at 86% and Yennefer of Vengerberg at 76%.
Season 5 of The Witcher is expected to air on Netflix in late 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character dies during season 5 of The Witcher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or that character's death must otherwise clearly be stated to have occurred, even if it happens offscreen. Characters confirming the death in conversation or the character's funeral taking place would both qualify. If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in season 5 will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before season 5 begins will not count toward this market's resolution. If a character's fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of season 5 will qualify. Only events depicted in official season 5 episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. This market will resolve after the final episode of season 5 of The Witcher is released.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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