Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 9% chance and No at 91%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available, at any point between market creation and 05:59 CET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, only information from the national government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
