Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Obafemi Hamzat at a 82% chance, ahead of Sowore Robert at 7% and Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick at 6%.
YES goes to the listed candidate elected Governor of Lagos State for the term beginning in 2027. The scheduled poll is 6 February 2027; if officially rescheduled, use the election for that term. The winner must meet Nigeria’s legal vote and geographic-distribution requirements; an interim, acting or caretaker office-holder does not count. If no outright winner is produced, keep the question open for any further election or runoff held before the deadline of 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no candidate is definitively elected by 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, Other is YES. A broad reporting consensus is primary, with Nigeria’s INEC and government records controlling any ambiguity. The answer naming the qualifying winner is YES; other candidate answers are NO. An Other result makes every displayed candidate NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
