Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:48 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 6% chance and No at 94%.
This market resolves Yes if South Korean President Lee Jae-myung is formally impeached by the National Assembly of South Korea by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves No. For this market, a Yes only requires the National Assembly to propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung. The Constitutional Court does not need to uphold the impeachment for the market to resolve Yes. The primary resolution source is official information from the South Korean government, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Alfredbexus
