Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Ann Kao at a 92% chance, ahead of Chuang Ching-cheng at 8% and Ho Chih-yung at 2%.
YES goes to the listed candidate who, through Taiwan's local elections set for 28 November 2026, becomes Hsinchu City's next mayor (the city, not the separate Hsinchu County). Anyone placed in the mayor's office on a temporary, acting, interim or placeholder basis before that vote does not count. If the winner is not one of the listed candidates, if no candidate is elected, or if the outcome is still not known by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, no listed answer wins and every listed answer settles NO; at most one answer can be YES. Consistent reporting from several reputable news outlets decides; if there is any ambiguity about the result, the official results published by Taiwan's Central Election Commission control.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
