Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 21:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local jail or prison in the United States by January 1, 2027 at 05:59 CET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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