Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 23 October 2026, 23:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a <1% chance and No at >99%.
YES if Chantel Gibbs wins the Vernon-Lumby seat at the British Columbia Legislative Assembly general election on 24 October 2026, for a full term starting in October 2026 or later; otherwise NO. If another candidate, listed or not, wins the seat, NO. If the result is not definite by 11:59 PM ET on 31 March 2027, NO. Agreement among reputable election reports may establish the winner; where there is doubt, the official Elections BC result (elections.bc.ca) decides.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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