Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 21:12 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is December 31, 2026 at a 77% chance, ahead of October 31, 2026 at 1% and September 30, 2026 at <1%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 05:59 CET/CEST on the day following the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings such as Form S-1 and Form 8-A, exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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