Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is October 31 at a 12% chance, ahead of September 30 at <1% and August 31 at <1%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and 05:59 CET/CEST on the day following the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes", a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public, or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labelled within the company's official website. Labelling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
