
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Erika Jurinová at a 83% chance, ahead of Igor Choma at 14% and Anna Belousovová at 5%.
YES belongs to the listed candidate who wins the Žilina Region gubernatorial election in Slovakia, scheduled for 24 October 2026. An interim or caretaker governor does not qualify. If the result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use Other. The election result follows a broad agreement among reputable reports; if that is ambiguous, use only official returns from the Žilina regional and Slovak authorities, including Slovakia's statistical office.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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