Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 11:09 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This prediction concerns the Querétaro gubernatorial election held on 6 Jun 2027. YES if Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero is the elected winner; an interim or caretaker office-holder does not qualify. If no definitive outcome is available by 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2027, it settles NO. Consistent reports from reputable news outlets are used first. If those accounts conflict or remain unclear, Mexican or Querétaro government election releases decide. The responsible bodies are the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro and Mexico's Instituto Nacional Electoral.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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