Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 20:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
YES if Marcel Reed wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy, the award for the most outstanding player in college football; if anyone else wins, NO. The presentation ceremony is planned for 12 December 2026. If it is cancelled, postponed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or no winner has been announced by that time, NO. If two or more players are officially named co-winners, only one of them counts: the co-winner whose full name, written first name first (as in "Marcel Reed"), comes first in alphabetical order. Marcel Reed is then YES only if that co-winner is Marcel Reed, otherwise NO. Official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust decides; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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