Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Retief Odendaal at a 32% chance, ahead of Andile Lungisa at 28% and Babalwa Lobishe at 14%.
YES selects the first person to officially assume the Nelson Mandela Bay mayoralty following South Africa's 2026 municipal elections. The municipal council must elect that person as mayor. The election is scheduled for 4 November 2026, with the new council's inaugural meeting expected within fourteen days, by 18 November. A person serving only as a temporary, caretaker or interim mayor before the vote does not qualify. If the election result remains unknown at 11:59 PM ET on 30 June 2027, the outcome is Other. Official South African government information, including the Electoral Commission, is primary; agreement among reliable news reports may also establish the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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