Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 84% chance and No at 16%.
YES requires Florida State to finish its 2026 NCAA Division 1 football regular campaign with more than 4.5 wins; otherwise NO. Count victories in games actually played and officially classed as regular-season fixtures. Exclude conference title games, bowls and the College Football Playoff, even if NCAA records classify them differently. A cancelled or unplayed fixture, including a forfeit without play, adds no victory. If fewer fixtures take place, use the actual wins. Cancellation of the season, postponement beyond 26 December 2026 at 23:59 ET, or an unestablished total by then gives NO. Official NCAA and conference records take priority; agreement among reputable reports may also establish the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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