Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 22% chance and No at 78%.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and January 1, 2027 at 05:59 CET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” Any announcement of Lagarde’s resignation or removal made before the market deadline will be enough for an immediate “Yes” resolution, regardless of when the announced departure is set to take effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
