Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 88% chance and No at 12%.
YES if Dune: Messiah appears on IMDb's Top 250 Movies chart (imdb.com/chart/top/) at any point up to 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. The film meant is Denis Villeneuve's third Dune film, his adaptation of Frank Herbert's novel Dune Messiah, which was announced under the title Dune: Part Three and is currently scheduled for release in December 2026. It counts under whatever title IMDb lists it, for example Dune: Messiah or Dune: Part Three. The prediction settles YES as soon as the film enters the chart, even if it later drops out. If the film has not appeared on the chart by the deadline, the answer is NO. If IMDb's Top 250 chart becomes permanently unavailable before the film has entered it, the answer is NO. IMDb's own Top 250 chart decides.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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