Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Mat Siscoe at a 95% chance, ahead of Ann-Marie Zammit at 3% and Anthony A. Adeoye at 3%.
YES goes to the listed candidate who is elected mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario, in the municipal election scheduled for 26 October 2026 and so becomes the city’s next mayor; every other listed candidate is NO. Only the race for mayor counts; council and school board seats filled the same day play no part. A temporary, interim or placeholder mayor appointed before the election does not count. If someone who is not listed wins, or the result of the election is not known by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, every listed candidate is NO. Broad agreement among reliable news reports decides; if the result is unclear, official information from the City of St. Catharines settles it.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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