Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 11:08 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 45% chance and No at 55%.
YES if Tony Diaz finishes first in receiving touchdowns among all players on Big Ten Conference teams over the 2026 NCAA FBS (Football Bowl Subdivision) regular season, after the tie-breaks below; if another player finishes first, NO. A player counts for the Big Ten only if the NCAA recognises the Big Ten as his team's football conference for the 2026 season; membership in other sports does not count. Only regular-season games count. If two or more players share the highest total, the tied player with more receiving yards over that regular season ranks first; if they are still level, the one averaging more receiving yards per reception. If players remain level after both steps, NO. If the season stops early or is cut short for any reason, the Big Ten leader is taken from official NCAA FBS statistics covering the games that were completed. If the 2026 regular season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 3 January 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or by then it is still unclear who led the Big Ten in receiving touchdowns, NO. Official NCAA statistics (the FBS statistics pages on ncaa.com) decide; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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