
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:22 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 23% chance and No at 77%.
This prediction covers the 2026 Basel men's singles tournament in Switzerland, set to run from 24 Oct to 1 Nov 2026. YES if Arthur Fils wins that men's singles title, meaning the player who lifts the trophy at the end of the event, with the win confirmed by 23:59 ET on 15 Nov 2026. Anything else is NO. If Arthur Fils becomes unable to win under the tournament's own rules, that settles NO. A player not on this list who takes the title settles NO. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed past 23:59 ET on 15 Nov 2026, or no winner is declared in that window, it settles NO. ATP's official information decides; consistent reports from reputable news outlets may be used if that information is unavailable.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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