Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Brenda Grisham at a 6% chance and Barbara Lee at 92%.
YES belongs to the listed candidate who wins Oakland’s mayoral election, scheduled for 3 November 2026 (ET date reference). Exactly one live answer follows that election winner. A consensus of reputable election reporting is the primary basis; when those reports leave the result ambiguous, official information from the City of Oakland controls. No additional fallback result is used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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